In the thrilling world of NFL football, every game presents a new opportunity for fans and bettors alike. As a dedicated football journalist, I am always on the lookout for the best bets to share with my readers. Each week, I deliver my top picks for the side or total for every game in the “Road to 272 Bets” series. But this season, I am not forgetting about the player prop bettors out there. In fact, for the 2024 campaign, I have been providing my top 10 player props on a weekly basis.
In Week 6, we saw our picks go 5-5, but thanks to Michael Wilson coming through as an anytime touchdown scorer, we ended up in the green with a profit of 2.02 units. Our season-to-date record with player props now stands at 30-29-1 for a total profit of +3.06 units.
As we head into Week 7, I am determined to keep the winning streak alive. It’s time to unveil my top 10 player props for the upcoming slate of games.
The Atlanta Falcons’ secondary has shown promise this season, allowing only 193.0 passing yards per game. However, a deeper dive into their advanced analytics suggests that they may be due for some regression in the near future. Ranking 21st in opponent dropbacks EPA and 20th in opponent dropback success rate, it appears that teams have found success throwing the ball against them.
Now, the Falcons are set to face off against the Seattle Seahawks, a team known for their prolific passing game. The Seahawks lead the league in pass attempts, throwing the ball on 68.35% of their plays. Quarterback Geno Smith has been airing it out, averaging 296.3 passing yards per game, the most in the NFL. In fact, his projected passing total for this game is set 33 yards higher than his season average.
If Smith can maintain his impressive passing numbers against Atlanta’s defense, our bet on him exceeding his passing yardage total will surely pay off.
With the stakes high and the competition fierce, NFL fans can expect an action-packed week of football ahead. Stay tuned as we follow the twists and turns of each game, keeping a close eye on our player prop bets to see if we come out on top once again.
